Frozen pre-match forecast · #236992
Al Nasr VS Qatar SC
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 04 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 80.56%
- Draw
- 13.84%
- Away
- 5.61%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.0601
- Log loss
- 0.2163
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- 4e2c260b295cd8c2539196bc8e343d4882b8728f1c9a6b61ea1eaf9b6cdbe1d3
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.