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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236954

Panthere Noir VS Vital'O

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.11%
Draw
26.97%
Away
46.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8216
Log loss
1.3103

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
1f266d0630a6825a280cc2f876b1def3b904d2d342123f7b9fc576c5cf7a3729

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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