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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236950

East Bengal W VS Hwacheon KSPO W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.14%
Draw
24.25%
Away
47.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4125
Log loss
0.7421

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
0707e7c70fba8b488d15d768ad415a55e919ad4b95bf92de5c4837447744f2e2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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