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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236908

PAOK U19 VS Zrinjski U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.75%
Draw
21.82%
Away
29.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3969
Log loss
0.7185

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
bf54e7ed6935784119a2a1b80228b0150b74975f60cf12fe6ab4af6bf713d3f9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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