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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236829

Rakow II VS Kluczbork

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.10%
Draw
24.49%
Away
41.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8579
Log loss
1.4069

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
263a4d1a9b050af26127e8f05ca5c023ee3b4c3dd8d30dc7889a511677d89fa0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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