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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236642

Kitara VS Blacks Power

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.71%
Draw
25.11%
Away
16.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
fb0b474ef19846af1e8206ba464c0e3640e3190b6f8f241f34c4ed3e851038b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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