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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236621

Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 VS Zurich U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.98%
Draw
22.80%
Away
31.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9048
Log loss
1.4783

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
45cf490506192aecf3f8ad03ab76cf3a2c706fa2ec0e75280713d844b1f4d5fc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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