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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236468

Olympic El Qanah VS Future FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.49%
Draw
29.94%
Away
39.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7294
Log loss
1.1878

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
b840f9e585029c4612d7addc7613a0d9fc70d15591eca9337df70b3900f23020

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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