Frozen pre-match forecast · #236438
Novin Ahvaz VS Ario Eslamshahr
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 09 Nov 2026 · 13:15 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 32.52%
- Draw
- 32.68%
- Away
- 34.81%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6801
- Log loss
- 1.1185
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- SHA-256
- d8f81f896da539c3b5481abe7c3f49f49e1bbbc5bdbe2bc7605c07d653561f13
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.