Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #236433

Al Ain U23 VS Al Wahda U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.90%
Draw
19.83%
Away
14.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2083
Log loss
1.9464

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
35283200fecb6d23729d455c9f70b4a7dcd4901a1a87c896849b3a8f37cc5c4c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →