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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236342

Sporting Escaldes VS Inter Club d'Escaldes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
4.90%
Draw
11.58%
Away
83.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.4818
Log loss
2.1559

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
b499ebbf3950d9d332900a99d66b4780991ea5ddc545925ab032318541fc0f91

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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