Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #236338

Athletic Club VS Atletico Goianiense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.88%
Draw
27.45%
Away
37.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5855
Log loss
0.9763

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
bd540a93bc1b2ed4b5111a3a3fee687ee785a38a1d1ec5c27958add42371f6f7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →