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Frozen pre-match forecast · #236277

SFC Minerva VS Santa Cruz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.49%
Draw
28.05%
Away
44.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
18e8afe190cb51315bf911eb002ddb33d7d060bda960352e73ec91ad0f74c085

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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