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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23573

Independiente CBBA VS Wilstermann Cooperativa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:57 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.61%
Draw
23.31%
Away
34.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4998
Log loss
0.8531

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:57 UTC
SHA-256
42d25ea05dc19a663c88ad830b6e9148d5cee57c727e69ae2e170dea9b98d31d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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