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Frozen pre-match forecast · #235259

RAAL La Louvière VS Cercle Brugge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.35%
Draw
25.71%
Away
37.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5833
Log loss
0.9690

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
f01e325727792080a1552da2f0e720c5c092e39457f83c5c63ec63c42899a063

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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