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Frozen pre-match forecast · #235258

Antwerp VS Lommel United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.66%
Draw
22.73%
Away
25.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9295
Log loss
1.4815

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
c66b642d0c24a9bf5b42a53b6f05dcfbdb17d8407b1205221ddc4f35b2235cc1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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