Frozen pre-match forecast · #235255
Casa de Portugal VS Esperança d'Andorra
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 07 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 29.80%
- Draw
- 25.00%
- Away
- 45.21%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4515
- Log loss
- 0.7940
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- SHA-256
- c375fbe307f26f9ff80d92b8be5d3af0cdd41a55897d17d5be7aef4df9ac2c1c
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.