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Frozen pre-match forecast · #235253

Grasshoppers VS Lausanne

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.20%
Draw
24.58%
Away
36.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8537
Log loss
1.4032

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
dd4cf951db209456ba0f0ec87c5d179bda9ddeedec9bff9f9ee37e5f531d13b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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