Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #235078

Javor VS TSC Backa Topola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.85%
Draw
23.78%
Away
30.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8834
Log loss
1.4364

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
8c5404f732a30d1565ac5ce6f85f4ffabc27d7e58372baaeb4edcc8a47ac4025

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →