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Frozen pre-match forecast · #234689

ST Mirren VS Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.39%
Draw
19.37%
Away
66.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1722
Log loss
0.4119

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
ac05a7a199e023f790c5c64ff1f426e678c2b7179cb19e857314e51892be5094

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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