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Frozen pre-match forecast · #234563

Rouen VS Bastia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 13:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.64%
Draw
24.49%
Away
18.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
9dc37dd3ea82d950eedafda887df05cc4a71d0bb8bf26575378d82d1a561dc5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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