Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #23448

Corpus Christi VS Boise

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.33%
Draw
22.35%
Away
39.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5849
Log loss
0.9589

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
26ad782f0397e2e6e497281b587a00df77af4ae8b3f013f2684251218939b28a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →