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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233577

Masar W VS FUS Rabat W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.66%
Draw
26.33%
Away
24.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3804
Log loss
0.7000

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
95153dae8bd78d36b735e4525a56db5e90f0bcc72d50623e6a0949fdb396f557

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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