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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233472

ISCA VS ASEC Mimosas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.24%
Draw
28.55%
Away
50.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8077
Log loss
1.2535

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
b341778752af9bb76a7222db600cc5fda1d5ba9c4ce8f64418c63f0a079eae1d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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