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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233462

Sporting San Jose VS Perez Zeledon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.76%
Draw
19.92%
Away
14.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1774
Log loss
0.4191

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
ab7eeed7b811b2a3a8071ecdbce83d5ae7efa5d50ddae9e742373b7f35224f61

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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