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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233405

Al Bidda SC VS Muaither SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.99%
Draw
25.25%
Away
43.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7315
Log loss
1.1715

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
d8b7851e0ae5d09a5ce93b530b0b381da545f16653b07e48bcb64de43bc84633

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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