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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233396

Al Kuwait VS Nasaf

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.71%
Draw
19.54%
Away
12.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.2579
Log loss
2.0596

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
24d2467b5735e77fcbab4414eecffe266975999226b011443e67f7f14647b8ac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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