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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23338

Villefranche VS Versailles

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:53 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.17%
Draw
27.61%
Away
58.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2709
Log loss
0.5409

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:53 UTC
SHA-256
1911ecc32ec07a8d41a47c9c407700b3db6825b1ddb26d16b9c333c1828ba7e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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