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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233361

Nkana VS Kansanshi Dynamos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.38%
Draw
28.58%
Away
18.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3316
Log loss
0.6277

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
7986911bd245b105d10ac92486011c7ce0ee15e0862c68a8fc7f7aac904c34b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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