Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #233351

East Bengal W VS Hwacheon KSPO W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.14%
Draw
24.25%
Away
47.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4125
Log loss
0.7421

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
e21edf53f981254361713be2ebc8f8dc7e9b2e5000fc167c697bbec475afd621

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →