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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233343

Fenerbahce U19 VS Liverpool U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.48%
Draw
21.05%
Away
46.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.4364
Log loss
0.7664

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
e4a43455cee77f64753b40fe71eb2e032d9a67f76451d0cfe1a09a17c8d65f1e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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