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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233341

Karpaty Lviv U19 VS Lviv U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.62%
Draw
17.10%
Away
12.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1306
Log loss
0.3479

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
582acb113a0215e2c3d4d3a47a25487bd3c02bc65f849df82e606231c4e6fbb2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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