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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233331

Pohang Steelers VS Gamba Osaka

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.37%
Draw
19.66%
Away
68.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1341
Log loss
1.6266

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
5775f4d82f34e1e0a3faf63b2cbdac22a5e8f75856da2c3613ff3b95757963aa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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