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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233287

Edinburgh City VS Partick

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.07%
Draw
20.80%
Away
62.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2158
Log loss
0.4759

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
78776dadc2c007075825fce718fc46d7401eee1e3d035a395f121fd8f2e0eaa1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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