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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233278

Gillingham FC U21 VS Huddersfield Town U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
3.23%
Draw
6.02%
Away
90.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.7078
Log loss
2.8101

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
2e045458d39e893ec39e748965ef1f29705036a5e93169104582b329dbb457b6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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