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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233261

Al-Hilal Saudi FC VS Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.32%
Draw
25.74%
Away
29.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4659
Log loss
0.8137

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
06b08a16c50f0fe8fdacc3f145a08bd3d63e33110abf92d1e7a36ddc96a88f34

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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