Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #233243

Vizela U23 VS Portimonense U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.75%
Draw
22.49%
Away
23.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9207
Log loss
1.4372

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
93ac57e6054be08dc046fd4c3d0cc8496acf728212cf4077ef11ae792f3f1a50

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →