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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233207

Mudhar Club VS Baish

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 11:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.30%
Draw
24.69%
Away
31.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8596
Log loss
1.3988

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
c3f02d88cd888eaddc3f84cf941c5b17fdfb5cab77e62385e100d1348f00d696

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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