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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233069

Stade Tunisien VS Club Africain

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.88%
Draw
32.28%
Away
32.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6361
Log loss
1.0533

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
d1be55b80b53b98f32ee46269833d9b70daa3314a33b471c62d03fb068240a32

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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