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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233067

Górnik Łęczna W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.04%
Draw
22.93%
Away
30.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7634
Log loss
1.2030

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b1e7964bf7e95ce06e59b1e7bd08d6182c2f4c461cf3cf228f0d6dca6ccf5c6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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