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Frozen pre-match forecast · #233062

Szeged 2011 VS BVSC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.46%
Draw
29.04%
Away
30.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5319
Log loss
0.9049

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
abb520ccc6ebd45b9a93b0fa28d36cd2c57c14861241c398568b7f6588f0b8fb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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