Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #23297

Braine VS Union Namur

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.78%
Draw
22.20%
Away
14.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1953
Log loss
1.9647

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
f8642360d390f8f28d7b322d58e3ee9126b741f691635375d51740518c2642f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →