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Frozen pre-match forecast · #232933

Charlton Athletic U21 VS Stockport County U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 01:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.48%
Draw
19.98%
Away
24.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2983
Log loss
0.5891

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Nov 2026 · 01:02 UTC
SHA-256
63ec98763916e726d9a8e5ff9a113b7e7ad85a74b76ca0316aa1a93e5bc5a157

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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