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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23293

Meux VS Onhaye

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.51%
Draw
19.91%
Away
38.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5305
Log loss
0.8791

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
232ffba10a584a0e8a9ec3e6dcc13b3e92df6e2bd56b0727306215a3c3f58177

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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