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Frozen pre-match forecast · #232847

Sporting San Jose VS Perez Zeledon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.13%
Draw
19.79%
Away
14.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1737
Log loss
0.4135

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
8cf3feb2086abdb7e7c01de1599fb079be422f44dcf76dc10d567ec1ad9f3377

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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