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Frozen pre-match forecast · #232846

Vizela U23 VS Portimonense U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.73%
Draw
22.51%
Away
23.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9206
Log loss
1.4372

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
1d1d29275f58f01e61ae99765817c492311c0e0bb578b8c6420555991439e3ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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