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Frozen pre-match forecast · #232837

Kanazawa VS Parceiro Nagano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.36%
Draw
23.77%
Away
21.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9624
Log loss
1.5201

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
59bf59128e14798c5875ccda861ea5dc8ef87e0fe070e0a8fed084fb262b6eca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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