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Frozen pre-match forecast · #232760

Sportivo Barracas VS Leones de Rosario

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.97%
Draw
31.56%
Away
34.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6545
Log loss
1.0798

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
6af420c2624a6efab7120724a65da4d52a4a9772b59a3b23c76dd19799506a21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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