Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #232721

Cruzeiro U17 VS Corinthians U17

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.86%
Draw
24.09%
Away
38.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5890
Log loss
0.9713

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
0829fb45526c0f17d093e700230b7ec642d29babf4feae7005690c1bbf6028f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →