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Frozen pre-match forecast · #232638

Fiorentina VS Juventus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.28%
Draw
23.17%
Away
55.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9441
Log loss
1.4623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
d9e3750bdc60bad9ff7ec39ad6753e989814eb56ac03d68e67bc41b6b35ad72c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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